Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.