Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 14
Nov 13, 2022 at 11.30am UK
Vefa Stadı

Karagumruk
3 - 3
Gaziantep

Baniya (32', 52'), Kouassi (69')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ersoy (13'), Figueiredo (20'), Merkel (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Gaziantep, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Antalyaspor 4-2 Karagumruk
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 1-2 Kayserispor
Sunday, November 6 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 23.51% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawGaziantep
53.54% (4.002 4)22.95% (-0.864 -0.86)23.51% (-3.137 -3.14)
Both teams to score 56.8% (-0.394 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.65% (1.003 1)43.34% (-1.002 -1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.26% (0.98099999999999 0.98)65.74% (-0.98 -0.98)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.84% (1.841 1.84)16.16% (-1.84 -1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.39% (3.254 3.25)45.61% (-3.253 -3.25)
Gaziantep Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (-2 -2)32.25% (2.002 2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.26% (-2.329 -2.33)68.74% (2.329 2.33)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 53.54%
    Gaziantep 23.51%
    Draw 22.94%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawGaziantep
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.224 0.22)
1-0 @ 9.5% (0.162 0.16)
2-0 @ 8.66% (0.651 0.65)
3-1 @ 5.95% (0.48 0.48)
3-0 @ 5.26% (0.683 0.68)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.096 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.71% (0.366 0.37)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.434 0.43)
4-2 @ 1.54% (0.132 0.13)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.184 0.18)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 53.54%
1-1 @ 10.74% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-0 @ 5.21% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.94%
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.593 -0.59)
0-1 @ 5.9% (-0.612 -0.61)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.555 -0.56)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.366 -0.37)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.26% (-0.292 -0.29)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 23.51%

Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 10.30am
Gaziantep
3-1
Karagumruk
Soyalp (6'), Demir (18'), Figueiredo (73')
Merkel (50')
Mor (50')
Torun (10'), Erkin (39'), Bekaroglu (86')
Aug 14, 2021 5.15pm
Karagumruk
3-2
Gaziantep
Djilobodji (10' og.), Pesic (19'), Musa (90')
Pesic (50'), Biglia (81')
Sagal (17' pen.), Djilobodji (90+4')
Sagal (37'), Mendyl (59')
Sagal (45+2')
Feb 3, 2021 1pm
Karagumruk
2-0
Gaziantep
Ndao (58'), Borini (64')
Biglia (41'), Bertolacci (45+1')

Mirallas (45'), Djilobodji (89')
Sep 20, 2020 5pm
Gaziantep
2-2
Karagumruk
Kana-Biyik (53'), Andre (59')
Jefferson (75'), Demir (83')
Zukanovic (26'), Erdinc (90+5')
Sobiech (17'), Sabo (41')