Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 10
Oct 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Vefa Stadı

Karagumruk
3 - 0
Hatayspor

Caulker (36'), Borini (45+3'), Diagne (90+8' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Hatayspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Fenerbahce 5-4 Karagumruk
Sunday, October 9 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Hatayspor

All competitions
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-0 Alanyaspor
Sunday, October 9 at 3pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 64.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 15.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawHatayspor
64.43% (0.73399999999999 0.73)20.34% (-0.224 -0.22)15.23% (-0.51 -0.51)
Both teams to score 50.87% (-0.462 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)44.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)66.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.05% (0.21400000000001 0.21)12.95% (-0.214 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.58% (0.433 0.43)39.41% (-0.434 -0.43)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.44% (-0.67599999999999 -0.68)41.56% (0.677 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.95% (-0.597 -0.6)78.05% (0.59800000000001 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 64.43%
    Hatayspor 15.23%
    Draw 20.34%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawHatayspor
2-0 @ 11.24% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 11% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.66% (0.183 0.18)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.92% (0.124 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.44% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.6% (0.063 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.41% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 64.43%
1-1 @ 9.66% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.33% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 20.34%
0-1 @ 4.72% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-2 @ 4.24% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.07% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 15.23%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 10.30am
Hatayspor
3-0
Karagumruk
Lobzhanidze (29'), El Kaabi (34', 58')
Oct 24, 2021 11.30am
Karagumruk
1-1
Hatayspor
Pesic (38')
Eggen Hedenstad (35'), Balkovec (69'), Mor (87'), Torun (90+4')
Eggen Hedenstad (88')
El Kaabi (30')
Corekci (29'), Boudjemaa (90+4'), Ribeiro (90+6')
Apr 6, 2021 2pm
Karagumruk
1-0
Hatayspor
Sobiech (70')
Biglia (62')

Aabid (78')
Dec 12, 2020 10.30am
Hatayspor
3-1
Karagumruk
Ilgaz (11'), Boupendza (75', 83')
Santos (36')
Durmaz (65')
Roco (19'), Viviano (76'), Sabo (77'), N'Diaye (84'), Durmaz (88')
N'Diaye (86'), Sabo (90+1')