Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 4
Aug 28, 2022 at 5.15pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
1 - 0
Hatayspor

Hajradinovic (36')
Eysseric (59'), Engin (90+2'), Fall (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yilmaz (81')
Coverage of the Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Hatayspor.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hatayspor 1-2 Gaziantep
Saturday, August 20 at 5.15pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 53.93%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 21.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kasimpasa in this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawHatayspor
53.93% (0.833 0.83)24.54% (-0.207 -0.21)21.53% (-0.626 -0.63)
Both teams to score 49.28% (-0.187 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.9% (0.161 0.16)52.1% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.18% (0.139 0.14)73.82% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.75% (0.39 0.39)19.25% (-0.389 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.03% (0.64 0.64)50.97% (-0.639 -0.64)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.03% (-0.529 -0.53)38.97% (0.529 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.31% (-0.502 -0.5)75.69% (0.503 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 53.93%
    Hatayspor 21.53%
    Draw 24.53%
KasimpasaDrawHatayspor
1-0 @ 12.36% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 10.18% (0.181 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.59% (0.167 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.27% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.096 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.06 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 53.93%
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.52% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.07% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.33% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 21.53%

Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 1pm
Aug 14, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 6, 2021 10.30am
Kasimpasa
1-4
Hatayspor
Kiese Thelin (56')
Erdogan (16')
Boupendza (44'), Aabid (72'), Canli (84'), Kamara (90+1')
Sep 26, 2020 2pm
Hatayspor
1-0
Kasimpasa
Biram Diouf (57')
Caytemel (45'), Biram Diouf (51')

Kara (36'), Serbest (76'), Oguz (90+6')
rhs 2.0


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