Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Giresunspor win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 32.21% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Giresunspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Giresunspor in this match.