Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Giresunspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
We said: Hatayspor 1-1 Giresunspor
Giresunspor have drawn their last two matches, and with the previous two meetings between the sides also ending in draws, we think Sunday's contest will result in a point apiece.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 51.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Giresunspor had a probability of 24.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Giresunspor win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.