Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Hatayspor had a probability of 14.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%), while for a Hatayspor win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.