Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.