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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 13
Nov 6, 2022 at 2pm UK
Antalya Stadyumu

Antalyaspor
4 - 2
Karagumruk

Wright (35'), Vural (41', 84'), Sari (45+2')
Aydogdu (90+5')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Colley (4'), Diagne (19')
Viviano (30'), Shukurov (50'), Ozdoyev (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Antalyaspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sivasspor 0-2 Antalyaspor
Monday, October 31 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 0-2 Galatasaray
Friday, October 28 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Antalyaspor 2-1 Fatih Karagumruk

Antalyaspor are high on confidence after two straight wins and will be favourites to extend that run to three when Karagumruk come to town on Sunday afternoon. With key players suspended for the visitors, their resistance on the road this weekend should be weaker and may lead to them travelling home empty-handed from Antalya. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 21.37%.

The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Antalyaspor would win this match.

Result
AntalyasporDrawFatih Karagumruk
54.74% (-0.22000000000001 -0.22) 23.89% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 21.37% (0.137 0.14)
Both teams to score 50.99% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.28% (-0.173 -0.17)49.71% (0.174 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.27% (-0.156 -0.16)71.72% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.96% (-0.145 -0.14)18.04% (0.146 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.06% (-0.249 -0.25)48.94% (0.25 0.25)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.21% (0.041000000000004 0.04)37.79% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.44% (0.039999999999999 0.04)74.56% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Antalyaspor 54.74%
    Fatih Karagumruk 21.37%
    Draw 23.89%
AntalyasporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 11.67% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 10% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 54.74%
1-1 @ 11.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.82% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.53% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.23% (0.03 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.79% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 21.37%

How you voted: Antalyaspor vs Karagumruk

Antalyaspor
100%
Draw
0.0%
Fatih Karagumruk
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Sep 21, 2021 3pm
Karagumruk
0-0
Antalyaspor

Ugur (40'), Durmaz (44'), Arveladze (85'), Balkovec (87')

Wright (28'), Crivelli (48')
Apr 28, 2021 2pm
Karagumruk
2-2
Antalyaspor
Albayrak (13' og.), Borini (24')
Bertolacci (49'), Roco (62'), Zukanovic (87'), Castro (89')
Fredy (34' pen.), Amilton (90+3')
Akyol (45'), Boffin (90+1')
Jan 6, 2021 4pm
Antalyaspor
3-1
Karagumruk
Ozmert (19' pen.), Bayrakdar (37'), Albayrak (71')
Sahin (33')
Balkovec (10')
Altinay (18'), Roco (23'), Colak (90+2')
Roco (84')
rhs 2.0
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1GalatasarayGalatasaray14122038152338
2Fenerbahce14102236132332
3Samsunspor1592429171229
4EyupsporEyupspor167542417726
5BesiktasBesiktas147432315825
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8KonyasporKonyaspor165561823-520
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor156271622-620
10KasimpasaKasimpasa154742021-119
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12SivassporSivasspor165382027-718
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor145361826-818
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15TrabzonsporTrabzonspor143742018216
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