Umraniyespor
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Ümraniye Hekimbaşı Şehir Stadyumu

Umraniyespor
1 - 3
Karagumruk

Nayir (3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Biraschi (8'), Diagne (55'), Borini (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Umraniyespor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Umraniyespor

All competitions
Last Game: Umraniyespor 2-2 Kayserispor
Sunday, October 9 at 12.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Karagumruk 3-0 Hatayspor
Saturday, October 15 at 12.30pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umraniyespor win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Umraniyespor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
UmraniyesporDrawFatih Karagumruk
51.5% (-0.244 -0.24)23.52% (0.121 0.12)24.98% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 56.59% (-0.275 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.59% (-0.424 -0.42)44.41% (0.424 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.22% (-0.412 -0.41)66.78% (0.41300000000001 0.41)
Umraniyespor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (-0.248 -0.25)17.28% (0.248 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.38% (-0.434 -0.43)47.62% (0.435 0.44)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41% (-0.125 -0.13)31.58% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.01% (-0.144 -0.14)67.99% (0.145 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Umraniyespor 51.5%
    Fatih Karagumruk 24.98%
    Draw 23.51%
UmraniyesporDrawFatih Karagumruk
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.58% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.92% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.27% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 51.5%
1-1 @ 11.04% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.1 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.29% (0.093 0.09)
0-2 @ 3.63% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 24.98%

How you voted: Umraniyespor vs Karagumruk

Umraniyespor
37.5%
Draw
12.5%
Fatih Karagumruk
50.0%
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