We said: Umraniyespor 1-2 Kasimpasa
Umraniyespor have not lost by more than a one-goal margin all season, and we can see that trend continuing here after Kasimpasa were quickly brought crashing back down to earth against Galatasaray.
Facing the league's leakiest defence is also cause for optimism for the hosts, but Kasimpasa will still expect to rediscover their attacking touch and return to winning ways this weekend, forcing Umraniyespor to wait that little bit longer for their first top-flight victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umraniyespor win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umraniyespor win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Kasimpasa in this match.