Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umraniyespor win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umraniyespor win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Kasimpasa in this match.