Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umraniyespor win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Umraniyespor win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Kasimpasa in this match.

Result
Umraniyespor	Draw	Kasimpasa
41.31% ( -0.62)	25.14% ( 0.23)	33.55% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 56.71% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.22% (

-0.95)

46.78% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.96% (

-0.89)

69.04% (

0.89)

Umraniyespor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.45% (

-0.71)

22.55% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.86% (

-1.06)

56.14% (

1.06)

Kasimpasa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.23% (

-0.22)

26.77% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.95% (

-0.29)

62.05% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Umraniyespor 41.31%

Kasimpasa 33.55%

Draw 25.14%

Umraniyespor	Draw	Kasimpasa
1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.26% Total : 41.31%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.14%	0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 33.55%