Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 6
Sep 11, 2022 at 6pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu
Galatasaray

Kasimpasa
2 - 3
Galatasaray

Bahoken (16'), Ciftpinar (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gomis (20'), Akturkoglu (50', 69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Galatasaray, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawGalatasaray
30.06% (-0.24 -0.24)26.57% (0.020000000000003 0.02)43.36% (0.21599999999999 0.22)
Both teams to score 50.69% (-0.176 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.05% (-0.174 -0.17)53.94% (0.169 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (-0.146 -0.15)75.39% (0.14200000000001 0.14)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.31% (-0.264 -0.26)32.69% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.76% (-0.298 -0.3)69.24% (0.29300000000001 0.29)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (0.031999999999996 0.03)24.69% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78% (0.045000000000002 0.05)59.22% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 30.06%
    Galatasaray 43.35%
    Draw 26.57%
KasimpasaDrawGalatasaray
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 7.06% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.04% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 30.06%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 11.28% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.83% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.9% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.29% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 43.35%

Head to Head
Jul 24, 2022 6pm
Jan 20, 2022 5pm
Galatasaray
1-3
Kasimpasa
Donk (45+3'), Bozok (60'), Varga (90+3')
Travnik (52')
Aug 29, 2021 5.15pm
Kasimpasa
2-2
Galatasaray
Jorgensen (45+2'), Bozok (66')
Sadiku (71'), Eysseric (90+2')
Cicaldau (32'), Akturkoglu (38')
Feb 14, 2021 1pm
Oct 4, 2020 5pm