Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 59.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.