Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Umraniyespor win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 34.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Umraniyespor win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Umraniyespor would win this match.