Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 61.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Umraniyespor had a probability of 17.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Umraniyespor win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.