Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2022 at 5pm UK
Vefa Stadı
Trabzonspor

Karagumruk
4 - 1
Trabzonspor

Ozdoyev (6'), Borini (34'), Ricci (67'), Kouassi (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bartra (20')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Trabzonspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Adana Demirspor 2-1 Karagumruk
Sunday, December 25 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Trabzonspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Trabzonspor 2-0 Fenerbahce
Saturday, December 24 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawTrabzonspor
35.19% (0.019000000000005 0.02)24.65% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)40.15% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.77% (0.009999999999998 0.01)44.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)66.61% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.4% (0.015000000000001 0.02)24.6% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.89% (0.018999999999998 0.02)59.1% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Trabzonspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)22.01% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)55.33% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 35.19%
    Trabzonspor 40.15%
    Draw 24.65%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawTrabzonspor
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 35.19%
1-1 @ 11.49%
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.65%
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 8.2% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 6.2% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 3.08%
1-4 @ 1.66%
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 40.15%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Trabzonspor

Fatih Karagumruk
11.4%
Draw
11.4%
Trabzonspor
77.1%
35
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 6.30pm
Trabzonspor
1-1
Karagumruk
Hugo (58')
Erdogan (45+2')
Biglia (45+4')
Pesic (16'), Biraschi (36'), Luckassen (45+5')
Nov 28, 2021 1pm
Karagumruk
0-2
Trabzonspor

Karamoh (45')
Djaniny (17' pen.), Omur (62')
Omur (25'), Ie (45')
Apr 24, 2021 2pm
Trabzonspor
2-0
Karagumruk
Djaniny (15' pen., 65')
Marlon (27')

Campi (49'), Kurucuk (69'), Borini (90+3')
Jan 3, 2021 1pm
Karagumruk
1-2
Trabzonspor
Balkovec (70')
Balkovec (48'), Arveladze (57')
Nwakaeme (46'), Ekuban (81')
Hosseini (13'), Parmak (37'), Marlon (60'), Baker (90')