Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 15
Dec 25, 2022 10.30am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT 5 Ocak Fatih Terim Stadyumu
  • Emre Akbaba 11' goal
  • Emre Akbaba 43' goal
  • goal Fabio Borini 19'

Adana Demirspor vs Fatih Karagumruk - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Adana Demirspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Nov 11, 2022 5.00pm
Alanyaspor 0 - 0 Adana Demirspor
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Younes Belhanda

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last game
Nov 13, 2022 11.30am
Karagumruk 3 - 3 Gaziantep
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Mbaye Diagne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 55.95%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 22.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Adana Demirspor in this match.

Result

Adana Demirspor 55.95% (-0.70)
Draw 21.68% (+0.24)
Fatih Karagumruk 22.37% (+0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.74% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.22% (-0.52)
Under 2.5 38.78% (+0.52)
Over 3.5 38.91% (-0.55)
Under 3.5 61.09% (+0.55)

Adana Demirspor Goals

Over 0.5 86.21% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 13.78% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 58.9% (-0.77)
Under 1.5 41.1% (+0.77)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5 69.29% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 30.71% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 33.04% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 66.96% (-0.14)

Score analysis

Adana Demirspor 55.95%
Draw 21.68%
Fatih Karagumruk 22.37%
Adana Demirspor
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.39% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 8.31% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 5.49% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.10)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.09)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.06)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 55.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.9% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.79% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.23% (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.68%
Fatih Karagumruk
1-2 @ 5.85% (+0.10)
0-1 @ 5% (+0.14)
0-2 @ 2.95% (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.3% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.28% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 22.37%

Head to Head

Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 23
Jan 22, 2022 1.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Samet Akaydin 32' yellowcard
  • Britt Assombalonga 35' goal
  • Yunus Akgun 58' goal
  • Britt Assombalonga 67' goal
  • Mario Balotelli 83' goal
  • Yunus Akgun 90' goal
  • redcard Yann Karamoh 31'
  • yellowcard Jimmy Durmaz 35'
  • yellowcard Fabio Borini 63'
  • yellowcard Jure Balkovec 65'
  • yellowcard Lucas Biglia 79'
Turkish Super Lig Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2021 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Aleksandar Pesic 14' goal
  • Aleksandar Pesic 21' goal
  • Andrea Bertolacci 58' goal
  • Yann Karamoh 79' goal
  • yellowcard Gokhan Inler 74'
  • yellowcard Jonas Svensson 84'