Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 55.95%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 22.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Adana Demirspor in this match.