Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 15
Dec 25, 2022 at 10.30am UK
5 Ocak Fatih Terim Stadyumu

Adana Demirspor
2 - 1
Karagumruk

Akbaba (11', 43')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Borini (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Adana Demirspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adana Demirspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-2 Adana Demirspor
Saturday, December 10 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Karagumruk 3-3 Gaziantep
Sunday, November 13 at 11.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 55.95%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 22.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Adana Demirspor in this match.

Result
Adana DemirsporDrawFatih Karagumruk
55.95% (-0.693 -0.69)21.68% (0.231 0.23)22.37% (0.462 0.46)
Both teams to score 59.74% (-0.166 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.22% (-0.514 -0.51)38.78% (0.514 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.91% (-0.545 -0.55)61.09% (0.545 0.55)
Adana Demirspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.21% (-0.384 -0.38)13.78% (0.384 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.9% (-0.764 -0.76)41.1% (0.764 0.76)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (0.117 0.12)30.71% (-0.116 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.04% (0.139 0.14)66.96% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Adana Demirspor 55.95%
    Fatih Karagumruk 22.37%
    Draw 21.68%
Adana DemirsporDrawFatih Karagumruk
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.31% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.49% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.83% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.21% (-0.094 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.9% (-0.049 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.27% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.08% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 55.95%
1-1 @ 9.9% (0.132 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.102 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 21.68%
1-2 @ 5.85% (0.097 0.1)
0-1 @ 5% (0.136 0.14)
0-2 @ 2.95% (0.09 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.045 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 22.37%

How you voted: Adana Demirspor vs Karagumruk

Adana Demirspor
84.2%
Draw
15.8%
Fatih Karagumruk
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2022 1pm
Adana Demirspor
5-0
Karagumruk
Assombalonga (35', 67'), Akgun (58', 90'), Balotelli (83')
Akaydin (32')

Durmaz (35'), Borini (63'), Balkovec (65'), Biglia (79')
Karamoh (31')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Karagumruk
4-0
Adana Demirspor
Pesic (14', 21'), Bertolacci (58'), Karamoh (79')

Inler (74'), Svensson (84')