Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 10
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
1 - 4
Adana Demirspor

Bahoken (56')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Belhanda (37'), David (40'), Onyekuru (63'), N'Diaye (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Adana Demirspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Trabzonspor 0-0 Kasimpasa
Monday, October 10 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Gaziantep 1-1 Adana Demirspor
Friday, October 7 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adana Demirspor win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adana Demirspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adana Demirspor would win this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawAdana Demirspor
35.1% (-0.144 -0.14)25.11% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)39.79% (0.141 0.14)
Both teams to score 57.18% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.67% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)46.33% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.38% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)68.62% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.36% (-0.102 -0.1)25.64% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47% (-0.141 -0.14)60.53% (0.144 0.14)
Adana Demirspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89% (0.052000000000007 0.05)23.11% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.03% (0.076000000000001 0.08)56.97% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 35.1%
    Adana Demirspor 39.79%
    Draw 25.11%
KasimpasaDrawAdana Demirspor
1-0 @ 8.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.49% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 35.1%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.93% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 8.68% (0.029 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.65% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.36% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.1% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 39.79%

Head to Head
Apr 17, 2022 2pm
Kasimpasa
4-0
Adana Demirspor
Haspolat (11'), Muleka (45+1', 63'), Bozok (73' pen.)
Hadergjonaj (23')

Rassoul (30')
Balotelli (45+3')
Nov 26, 2021 5pm
rhs 2.0


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