Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2023 at 1pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
2 - 2
Karagumruk

Hadergjonaj (30' pen.), Bahoken (90+10')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dresevic (51'), Borini (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Kasimpasa
Saturday, January 7 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Karagumruk 3-3 Konyaspor
Sunday, January 8 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 54.62%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawFatih Karagumruk
54.62% (-0.468 -0.47)22.16% (0.033999999999999 0.03)23.23% (0.437 0.44)
Both teams to score 59.2% (0.45800000000001 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.99% (0.341 0.34)40.02% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.62% (0.354 0.35)62.38% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)14.63% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.26% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)42.75% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (0.562 0.56)30.66% (-0.559 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (0.65799999999999 0.66)66.9% (-0.655 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 54.62%
    Fatih Karagumruk 23.23%
    Draw 22.16%
KasimpasaDrawFatih Karagumruk
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 54.62%
1-1 @ 10.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.073 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.083 0.08)
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 23.23%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Karagumruk

Kasimpasa
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Fatih Karagumruk
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 11.30am
Karagumruk
3-2
Kasimpasa
Ugur (31'), Pesic (38'), Bistrovic (72')
Durmaz (10'), Ugur (66'), Mor (90+6')
Serbest (67'), Muleka (82')
Elmali (40'), Serbest (45'), Spajic (57')
Nov 21, 2021 10.30am
Kasimpasa
1-3
Karagumruk
Erdogan (32')
Travnik (31')
Brecka (1' og.), Karamoh (20'), Pesic (27' pen.)
Mor (45+1'), Oztumer (45+4'), Zukanovic (60'), Biglia (90')
Eggen Hedenstad (90+4'), Biglia (90+7')
Feb 20, 2021 10.30am
Kasimpasa
3-2
Karagumruk
Kiese Thelin (20'), Erdogan (59', 69')
Bistrovic (75')
Roco (14'), Castro (80')
Bertolacci (24'), Altinay (89')
Oct 18, 2020 2pm
Karagumruk
1-1
Kasimpasa
Sobiech (45+1')
Biglia (52'), Zukanovic (52'), Viviano (90+2'), Ndao (90+3')
Durmaz (74')
Kara (47')
Kara (53')