Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 18
Jan 8, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Vefa Stadı

Karagumruk
3 - 3
Konyaspor

Ozdoyev (7'), Diagne (33'), Frei (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Biram Diouf (65', 72', 90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Konyaspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Kayserispor 2-4 Karagumruk
Wednesday, January 4 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Konyaspor

All competitions
Last Game: Konyaspor 2-2 Sivasspor
Wednesday, January 4 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Konyaspor had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Konyaspor win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKonyaspor
39.55% (0.199 0.2)25.27% (0.041999999999998 0.04)35.18% (-0.238 -0.24)
Both teams to score 56.63% (-0.186 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96% (-0.223 -0.22)47.05% (0.224 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.71% (-0.208 -0.21)69.29% (0.212 0.21)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.45% (0.0020000000000095 0)23.55% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.4% (0.0040000000000049 0)57.61% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Konyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07% (-0.241 -0.24)25.93% (0.244 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.07% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33)60.94% (0.33300000000001 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 39.55%
    Konyaspor 35.18%
    Draw 25.26%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKonyaspor
1-0 @ 8.83% (0.083 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.62% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.39% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.08% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.11% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 39.55%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.057 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 8.24% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.04% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 5.56% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 35.18%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Konyaspor

Fatih Karagumruk
55.6%
Draw
44.4%
Konyaspor
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 2pm
Konyaspor
1-2
Karagumruk
Bytyqi (23')
Dikmen (19')
Onur (81'), Karamoh (84')
Ugur (16')
Dec 11, 2021 10.30am
Karagumruk
1-4
Konyaspor
Pesic (12')
Luckassen (84')
Rahmanovic (29'), Gurler (53', 88'), Guilherme (85')
May 2, 2021 2pm
Konyaspor
5-1
Karagumruk
Calik (33'), Cikalleshi (61', 85'), Bytyqi (64'), Shengelia (90+2')
Hadziahmetovic (56'), Bardakci (63')
Lens (30')
Lens (45'), Ndao (51'), Kurucuk (60'), Ahmetoglu (71')
Jan 10, 2021 10.30am
Karagumruk
2-1
Konyaspor
Bertolacci (66'), N'Diaye (81')
Kurucuk (86'), Ndao (87'), N'Diaye (88')
Jevtovic (84')
Calik (88'), Kravets (90+4')