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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 22
Jan 31, 2023 at 5pm UK
Vefa Stadı
Besiktas

Karagumruk
1 - 1
Besiktas

Ozdoyev (49')
Biraschi (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tosun (33')
Fernandes (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alanyaspor 2-2 Karagumruk
Sunday, January 22 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 3-0 Alanyaspor
Friday, January 27 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 2-3 Besiktas

Given that both teams have scored at least two goals in six of Karagumruk's past eight Super Lig games, this is destined to be a high-scoring affair between two resurgent teams. The hosts have drawn each of their last three league matches, while Besiktas have won each of their previous five, so the Black Eagles are likely to claim all three points on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawBesiktas
29.02% (0.312 0.31) 22.84% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 48.14% (-0.238 -0.24)
Both teams to score 62.57% (0.51900000000001 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.89% (0.584 0.58)38.11% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.62% (0.621 0.62)60.37% (-0.624 -0.62)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (0.5 0.5)25.36% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (0.682 0.68)60.15% (-0.686 -0.69)
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.83% (0.131 0.13)16.16% (-0.135 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.38% (0.241 0.24)45.62% (-0.246 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 29.02%
    Besiktas 48.14%
    Draw 22.83%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawBesiktas
2-1 @ 7.03% (0.038 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.62% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 3.86% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 3.22% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.93% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.76% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 29.02%
1-1 @ 10.24% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 9.34% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-2 @ 6.81% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 5.67% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 4.14% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.89% (0.056 0.06)
1-4 @ 2.59% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.77% (0.033 0.03)
1-5 @ 0.94% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 48.14%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Besiktas

Fatih Karagumruk
12.2%
Draw
22.0%
Besiktas
65.9%
41
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Besiktas
4-1
Karagumruk
Weghorst (17'), N'Koudou (34'), Muleka (50'), Rosier (90')
Muleka (40'), Vardar (42'), Ucan (67')
Diagne (53')
Ozdoyev (7'), Diagne (43'), Erkin (90+2')
Jan 18, 2022 5pm
Aug 28, 2021 7.45pm
Besiktas
1-0
Karagumruk
Teixeira (30')
Ucan (36'), Destanoglu (90+4')
Ucan (48')

Oztumer (14'), Durmaz (16'), Zukanovic (42'), Tatli (61')
May 11, 2021 6.30pm
Besiktas
1-2
Karagumruk
Bertolacci (39'), Ghezzal (54'), Borini (80')
Ghezzal (44'), Bertolacci (46'), Zukanovic (56'), Borini (61'), Welinton (64'), Ndao (85'), Ahmetoglu (90+2'), Castro (90+3')
Zukanovic (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray14122038152338
2Fenerbahce14102236132332
3Samsunspor1592429171229
4EyupsporEyupspor167542417726
5BesiktasBesiktas147432315825
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK147342720724
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul146442418622
8KonyasporKonyaspor165561823-520
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor156271622-620
10KasimpasaKasimpasa154742021-119
11GaziantepGaziantep145362021-118
12SivassporSivasspor165382027-718
13AntalyasporAntalyaspor145361826-818
14TrabzonsporTrabzonspor143742018216
15KayserisporKayserispor143651525-1015
16AlanyasporAlanyaspor143561218-614
17Bodrumspor154291221-914
18Hatayspor141581223-118
19Adana Demirspor1402121034-242


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