Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 29.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.