Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Gaziantep had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Gaziantep win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.