Serie A Gameweek 27
Fiorentina
Mar 19, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
Lecce
  • Antonino Gallo 27' goal

Fiorentina vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2023 2.00pm
Cremonese 0 - 2 Fiorentina
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Arthur Cabral

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Mar 12, 2023 11.30am
Lecce 0 - 2 Torino
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Gabriel Espeto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 67.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result

Fiorentina 67.19% ▲ (+0.68)
Draw 19.55% ▼ (-0.34)
Lecce 13.25% ▼ (-0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.3% ▲ (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.18% ▲ (+0.69)
Under 2.5 44.81% ▼ (-0.70)
Over 3.5 32.82% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 3.5 67.17% ▼ (-0.67)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 87.62% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 0.5 12.38% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 1.5 61.76% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 1.5 38.24% ▼ (-0.84)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 55.12% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 44.87% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 19.17% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 80.83% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 67.19%
Draw 19.55%
Lecce 13.25%
Fiorentina
2-0 @ 12.12% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 11.6% ▼ (-0.17)
2-1 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 8.44% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.14)
4-1 @ 3.53% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.09)
5-1 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.07)
4-2 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 67.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 5.55% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.55%
Lecce
0-1 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.15)
1-2 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.08)
0-2 @ 1.78% ▼ (-0.07)
2-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 13.25%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 10
Lecce
Oct 17, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Fiorentina
  • Assan Ceesay 43' goal
  • goal Christian Kouame 48'
Serie A Gameweek 33
Lecce
Jul 15, 2020 8.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT Via del Mare
Fiorentina
  • Gabriel 10' yellowcard
  • Khouma Babacar 21' yellowcard
  • Giulio Donati 36' yellowcard
  • Evgeniy Shakhov 88' goal
  • goal Federico Chiesa 6'
  • yellowcard Franck Ribery 10'
  • yellowcard Rachid Ghezzal 27'
  • goal Rachid Ghezzal 38'
  • goal Patrick Cutrone 40'
Serie A Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
Nov 30, 2019 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi (Firenze)
Lecce
  • Gaetano Castrovilli 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrea Rispoli 29'
  • goal Andrea La Mantia 49'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Petriccione 60'
  • yellowcard Luca Rossettini 69'

Form Data

Sivasspor 1 - 4 Fiorentina
Cremonese 0 - 2 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 1 - 0 Sivasspor
Fiorentina 2 - 1 AC Milan
Hellas Verona 0 - 3 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 3 - 2 Braga
Lecce 0 - 2 Torino
Inter Milan 2 - 0 Lecce
Lecce 0 - 1 Sassuolo
Atalanta 1 - 2 Lecce
Lecce 1 - 1 Roma
Cremonese 0 - 2 Lecce