Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 26

Mar 12, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese
0 - 2
Fiorentina

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mandragora (27'), Cabral (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cremonese and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Sassuolo 3-2 Cremonese
Monday, March 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Sivasspor
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 54.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 22.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Cremonese win it was 1-0 (6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Cremonese	Draw	Fiorentina
22.94% ( 0.55)	23.06% ( -0.22)	54.01% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 55.73% (

1.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.57% (

1.55)

44.43% (

-1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.2% (

1.48)

66.8% (

-1.48)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.65% (

1.35)

33.35% (

-1.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.03% (

1.46)

69.97% (

-1.46)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.62% (

0.44)

16.38% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.98% (

0.78)

46.02% (

-0.79)

Score Analysis

Cremonese 22.94%

Fiorentina 54.01%

Draw 23.05%

Cremonese	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 6% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.32% Total : 22.94%	1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.05%	0-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.94% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 5.92% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 5.39% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 2.68% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.1) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.26% Total : 54.01%