Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 25

Mar 6, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo
3 - 2
Cremonese

Lauriente (26'), Frattesi (41'), Bajrami (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Dessers (62', 83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cremonese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cremonese 2-1 Roma
Tuesday, February 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Cremonese
48.88% ( -0.41)	24.31% ( 0)	26.81% ( 0.41)

Both teams to score 55.68% (

0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.58% (

0.29)

46.42% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.3% (

0.27)

68.7% (

-0.27)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.94% (

-0.05)

19.06% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.35% (

-0.09)

50.65% (

0.09)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.79% (

0.47)

31.21% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.45% (

0.55)

67.55% (

-0.55)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 48.88%

Cremonese 26.81%

Draw 24.31%

Sassuolo	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.18% Total : 48.88%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.31%	0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.81%