Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Cremonese win it was 1-0 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cremonese | Draw | Roma |
| 20.83% ( | 23.34% ( | 55.83% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.93% ( | 48.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.76% ( | 70.24% ( |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.61% ( | 37.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.82% ( | 74.18% ( |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.95% ( | 17.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.8% ( | 47.2% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cremonese | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 6.27% ( 2-1 @ 5.46% ( 2-0 @ 3.08% 3-1 @ 1.79% ( 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 3-0 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.64% Total : 20.83% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 3-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.33% | 0-1 @ 11.27% ( 0-2 @ 9.98% ( 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0-3 @ 5.88% ( 1-3 @ 5.79% ( 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0-4 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 2.56% ( 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0-5 @ 0.92% ( 1-5 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2% Total : 55.83% |