Europa League
Feb 23, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Andrea Belotti 33' goal
  • Paulo Dybala 40' goal

Roma vs Red Bull Salzburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Feb 16, 2023 5.45pm
Salzburg 1 - 0 Roma

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Feb 16, 2023 5.45pm
Salzburg 1 - 0 Roma

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result

Roma 47.06% (-0.01)
Draw 24.72% (+0.01)
Red Bull Salzburg 28.22% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.46% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.78% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 47.22% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 30.55% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 69.45% (+0.01)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 79.87% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 20.13% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 47.6% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 52.4% (+0.01)

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5 69.44% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 30.56%
Over 1.5 33.21%
Under 1.5 66.79%

Score analysis

Roma 47.06%
Draw 24.72%
Red Bull Salzburg 28.22%
Roma
1-0 @ 9.86% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 5.01% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.22%
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.69% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 47.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.69% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.15% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.72%
Red Bull Salzburg
0-1 @ 7.29% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.93%
0-2 @ 4.32% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 28.22%

Head to Head

Europa League
Feb 16, 2023 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Nicolas Capaldo 88' goal