Europa League

Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Feb 23, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
2 - 0
Salzburg

(Roma win 2-1 on aggregate)

Belotti (33'), Dybala (40')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Roma and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Roma 1-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, February 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Red Bull Salzburg

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Salzburg 1-0 Roma
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Red Bull Salzburg had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
47.06% ( -0)	24.72% ( 0)	28.22% ( 0)

Both teams to score 55.46% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.78% (

-0.01)

47.22% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.55% (

-0)

69.45% (

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.87% (

-0)

20.13% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.6% (

-0)

52.4% (

Red Bull Salzburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.44% (

-0)

30.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.21%

66.79%

Score Analysis

Roma 47.06%

Red Bull Salzburg 28.22%

Draw 24.72%

Roma	Draw	Red Bull Salzburg
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.22% 3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.84% Total : 47.06%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 7.29% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.93% 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 3.04% Total : 28.22%