Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Mar 17, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo
1 - 0
Spezia

Berardi (71' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Roma 3-4 Sassuolo
Sunday, March 12 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Spezia

All competitions

Last Game: Spezia 2-1 Inter Milan
Friday, March 10 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 53.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 23.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sassuolo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sassuolo.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Spezia
53.34% ( -0.33)	23.38% ( 0.01)	23.28% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 55.11% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.53% (

0.29)

45.46% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.2% (

0.27)

67.8% (

-0.28)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83% (

-0.02)

17% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.88% (

-0.03)

47.12% (

0.03)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.39% (

0.45)

33.61% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.74% (

0.48)

70.25% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 53.34%

Spezia 23.28%

Draw 23.37%

Sassuolo	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 53.34%	1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.37%	0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.28% Total : 23.28%