Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Apr 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 1
Atalanta

Cabral (56' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Maehle (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-4 Fiorentina
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 0-2 Bologna
Saturday, April 8 at 3.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Atalanta BC
47.67% ( 1.22)	25.3% ( -0.02)	27.03% ( -1.2)

Both teams to score 52.69% (

-0.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.57% (

-0.66)

50.43% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.64% (

-0.59)

72.36% (

0.59)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.83% (

0.26)

21.17% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.96% (

0.4)

54.04% (

-0.4)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.84% (

-1.27)

33.15% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.24% (

-1.43)

69.75% (

1.43)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 47.67%

Atalanta BC 27.03%

Draw 25.3%

Fiorentina	Draw	Atalanta BC
1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 47.67%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.45% Total : 27.03%