We said: Cremonese 1-2 Atalanta BC
Likely to throw caution to the wind, with time running out to pull off a miraculous escape, Cremonese could be caught out by an Atalanta side that has not always been fluent this term but still boast several attacking threats: the visitors have registered 18 different scorers so far, and no team across Europe's top five leagues has more.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.