Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Apr 1, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese
1 - 3
Atalanta

Ciofani (56' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

de Roon (44'), Boga (72'), Lookman (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cremonese and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 1-1 Cremonese
Saturday, March 18 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Empoli
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 48.31%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 2-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Cremonese	Draw	Atalanta BC
27.67%	24.02%	48.31%

Both teams to score 57.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.49%

44.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.12%

66.87%

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.44%

29.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.41%

65.59%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.46%

18.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.21%

49.78%

Score Analysis

Cremonese 27.67%

Atalanta BC 48.31%

Draw 24.01%

Cremonese	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 6.86% 1-0 @ 6.68% 2-0 @ 4.07% 3-1 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.35% 3-0 @ 1.65% Other @ 3.27% Total : 27.67%	1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 5.78% 0-0 @ 5.48% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.01%	1-2 @ 9.49% 0-1 @ 9.24% 0-2 @ 7.78% 1-3 @ 5.33% 0-3 @ 4.37% 2-3 @ 3.25% 1-4 @ 2.25% 0-4 @ 1.84% 2-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.31%