Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Cremonese |
| 57.58% ( | 22.65% ( | 19.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.46% ( | 46.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.19% ( | 68.81% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.1% ( | 15.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.87% ( | 45.12% ( |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.39% ( | 37.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.61% ( | 74.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Cremonese |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 3-0 @ 6.2% ( 3-1 @ 6.06% ( 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 4-0 @ 2.85% ( 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 5-1 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 57.57% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.64% | 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 1-2 @ 5.26% ( 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0-3 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.59% Total : 19.77% |