Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 46.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salernitana | Draw | Monza |
| 26.51% ( | 26.57% ( | 46.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.5% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.3% ( | 55.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.15% ( | 76.84% ( |
| Salernitana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.59% ( | 36.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.81% ( | 73.19% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% ( | 23.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.13% ( | 57.86% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salernitana | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 8.73% ( 2-1 @ 6.34% ( 2-0 @ 4.41% ( 3-1 @ 2.14% ( 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 3-0 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 1.87% Total : 26.51% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 2-2 @ 4.56% ( Other @ 0.81% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 12.42% ( 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0-2 @ 8.94% ( 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0-3 @ 4.29% ( 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0-4 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.63% Total : 46.92% |