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Salernitana
Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 26, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Arechi
Monza

Salernitana
3 - 0
Monza

Coulibaly (52'), Kastanos (65'), Candreva (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Lazio
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-1 AC Milan
Saturday, February 18 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 46.92%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 26.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
SalernitanaDrawMonza
26.51% (-0.058 -0.06)26.57% (0.012 0.01)46.92% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.5% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.3% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)55.7% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.15% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)76.84% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.59% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)36.4% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.81% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)73.19% (0.086999999999989 0.09)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.27% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)23.73% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.13% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)57.86% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 26.51%
    Monza 46.92%
    Draw 26.56%
SalernitanaDrawMonza
1-0 @ 8.73% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.41% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 26.51%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 8.64% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 12.42% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 8.94% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.29% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.54% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 46.92%

How you voted: Salernitana vs Monza

Salernitana
38.9%
Draw
22.2%
Monza
38.9%
18
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Monza
3-0
Salernitana
Augusto (24'), Mota (35'), Pessina (75' pen.)

Candreva (44')
May 1, 2021 1pm
Salernitana
1-3
Monza
Gondo (51')
Veseli (70'), Casasola (79')
Frattesi (49'), Balotelli (81', 90+1')
Pirola (40'), Balotelli (83')
Dec 30, 2020 3pm
Monza
3-0
Salernitana
Balotelli (4'), Barilla (45'), Armellino (90+5')
Bellusci (55')

Gyomber (26'), Djuric (30')