Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Monza had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Monza |
| 52.24% ( | 24.68% ( | 23.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.89% ( | 51.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.03% ( | 72.96% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.46% ( | 19.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.56% ( | 51.44% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.08% ( | 36.92% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.29% ( | 73.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% ( 2-0 @ 9.61% ( 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 3-0 @ 5.23% ( 3-1 @ 5.22% ( 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 4-2 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 52.23% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( 1-2 @ 5.85% ( 0-2 @ 3.58% ( 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 1.74% Total : 23.08% |