Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Feb 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
2 - 2
Sampdoria

Petagna (32'), Pessina (90+9' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gabbiadini (12', 58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Monza and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 0-2 Monza
Sunday, January 29 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sampdoria

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Sampdoria
Saturday, January 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 60.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 17.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Sampdoria
60.51% ( 0.16)	22.32% ( -0.04)	17.17% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 48.85% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.01% (

-0.03)

48.99% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.93% (

-0.03)

71.07% (

0.03)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.24% (

0.04)

15.76% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.13% (

0.08)

44.87% (

-0.08)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.99% (

-0.17)

42.01% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.56% (

-0.15)

78.44% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Monza 60.51%

Sampdoria 17.18%

Draw 22.31%

Monza	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 60.51%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.84% Total : 22.31%	0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 17.18%