Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 19, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
0 - 2
Lazio

FT(HT: 0-0)

Immobile (60', 69' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-0 Salernitana
Monday, February 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 CFR Cluj
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Lazio
18.44% ( -0.56)	22% ( -0.27)	59.55% ( 0.82)

Both teams to score 52.23% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.29% (

0.32)

45.7% (

-0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.97% (

0.3)

68.02% (

-0.3)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.42% (

-0.43)

38.57% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.67% (

-0.41)

75.32% (

0.41)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.04% (

0.38)

14.96% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.62% (

0.71)

43.38% (

-0.71)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 18.44%

Lazio 59.55%

Draw 22%

Salernitana	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 18.44%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22%	0-1 @ 10.96% 0-2 @ 10.41% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.6% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 6.28% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 3.13% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.98% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.13% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.52% Total : 59.55%