Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 19, 2023 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Arechi
  • goal Ciro Immobile 60'
  • goal Ciro Immobile 69'

Salernitana vs Lazio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions
Last game
Feb 13, 2023 5.30pm
Hellas Verona 1 - 0 Salernitana
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Boulaye Dia

Lazio

All competitions
Last game
Feb 11, 2023 7.45pm
Lazio 0 - 2 Atalanta
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Ciro Immobile

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 59.55%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Salernitana win it was 1-0 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result

Salernitana 18.44% (-0.56)
Draw 22% (-0.27)
Lazio 59.55% (+0.83)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.23% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.29% (+0.33)
Under 2.5 45.7% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 31.97% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 68.02% (-0.31)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5 61.42% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 38.57% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 24.67% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 75.32% (+0.42)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5 85.04% (+0.38)
Under 0.5 14.96% (-0.38)
Over 1.5 56.62% (+0.71)
Under 1.5 43.38% (-0.72)

Score analysis

Salernitana 18.44%
Draw 22%
Lazio 59.55%
Salernitana
1-0 @ 5.5% (-0.15)
2-1 @ 4.97% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 2.62% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 1.58% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 1.5% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 18.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.14)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.08)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.06)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 22%
Lazio
0-1 @ 10.96%
0-2 @ 10.41% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 9.92% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.6% (+0.17)
1-3 @ 6.28% (+0.09)
0-4 @ 3.13% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.99% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.98% (+0.09)
2-4 @ 1.42% (+0.03)
0-5 @ 1.19% (+0.07)
1-5 @ 1.13% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 59.55%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Olimpico
  • Mattia Zaccagni 41' goal
  • goal Antonio Candreva 51'
  • goal Federico Fazio 68'
  • goal Boulaye Dia 76'
Serie A Gameweek 22
Jan 15, 2022 5.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Andrea Schiavone 41' yellowcard
  • Luca Ranieri 63' yellowcard
  • goal Ciro Immobile 7'
  • goal Ciro Immobile 10'
  • yellowcard Danilo Cataldi 28'
  • goal Manuel Lazzari 66'
  • yellowcard Manuel Lazzari 66'
  • yellowcard Luiz Felipe 69'
Serie A Gameweek 12
Nov 7, 2021 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Danilo Cataldi 11' yellowcard
  • Ciro Immobile 31' goal
  • Pedro 36' goal
  • Luis Alberto 69' goal
  • yellowcard Norbert Gyomber 9'
  • yellowcard Joel Obi 55'