Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Monza win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | AC Milan |
33.51% ( 0.05) | 24.11% ( 0.01) | 42.37% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 60.33% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.94% ( -0.06) | 42.05% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.54% ( -0.06) | 64.45% ( 0.06) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.46% ( -0) | 24.54% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.98% ( -0) | 59.01% ( -0) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.95% ( -0.06) | 20.05% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.73% ( -0.09) | 52.26% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.51% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.11% | 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 42.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 63 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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