Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 18, 2023 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT U-Power Stadium
  • goal Junior Messias 31'

Monza vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions
Last game
Feb 12, 2023 2.00pm
Bologna 0 - 1 Monza
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Carlos Augusto

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Feb 10, 2023 7.45pm
AC Milan 1 - 0 Torino
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Monza win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

Monza 33.51% (+0.05)
Draw 24.11% (+0.02)
AC Milan 42.37% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.33% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.94% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 42.05% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 35.54% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 64.45% (+0.07)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5 75.46% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 24.54% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.98% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.01% (-0.01)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 79.95% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 20.05% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 47.73% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 52.26% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Monza 33.51%
Draw 24.11%
AC Milan 42.37%
Monza
2-1 @ 7.8% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.91% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.86% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.65% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.27% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.92% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.11%
AC Milan
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.91% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.35% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.78% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 42.37%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2022 5.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Brahim Diaz 16' goal
  • Brahim Diaz 41' goal
  • Divock Origi 65' goal
  • Rafael Leao 84' goal
  • goal Filippo Ranocchia 70'