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Monza
Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 18, 2023 at 5pm UK
U-Power Stadium
Milan logo

Monza
0 - 1
AC Milan


Santos (27'), Birindelli (54'), Rovella (62'), Pepin (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Messias (31')
Krunic (34'), Thiaw (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bologna 0-1 Monza
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-0 Spurs
Tuesday, February 14 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Monza 1-1 AC Milan

Monza are now a tough nut to crack, so even a recent return to something like normality for Milan may not see them in shape to end their hosts' unbeaten run. Lacking their old vibrancy up front, and with Rafael Leao still struggling, the champions could have to settle for a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Monza win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawAC Milan
33.51% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 24.11% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 42.37% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 60.33% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.94% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)42.05% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.54% (-0.064 -0.06)64.45% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.54% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.98% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)59.01% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.95% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)20.05% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.73% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)52.26% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Monza 33.51%
    AC Milan 42.37%
    Draw 24.11%
MonzaDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.008 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.91% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.86% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.65% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.27% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.51%
1-1 @ 11.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 8.93% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.91% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.35% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.78% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.36% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.35% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 42.37%

How you voted: Monza vs AC Milan

Monza
20.0%
Draw
21.1%
AC Milan
58.9%
90
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 5pm
AC Milan
4-1
Monza
Diaz (16', 41'), Origi (65'), Leao (84')
Origi (31')
Ranocchia (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan34285181186389
2AC Milan34217664392570
3Juventus341811547262165
4Bologna341712549272263
5Roma34178961412059
6Atalanta BCAtalanta331761061372457
7Lazio34174134335855
8Fiorentina331481150371350
9Napoli341311105243950
10Torino341113103131046
11Monza341111123644-844
12Genoa341012123840-242
13Lecce34812143149-1836
14CagliariCagliari34711163659-2332
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona34710173145-1431
16FrosinoneFrosinone34710174363-2031
17Empoli3487192650-2431
18Udinese34417133251-1929
19SassuoloSassuolo3468204070-3026
RSalernitana3429232673-4715


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