Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 17.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.