Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 17.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Empoli |
| 61.17% ( | 21.62% ( | 17.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.98% ( | 46.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.67% ( | 68.33% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.45% ( | 14.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.41% ( | 42.6% ( |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.8% ( | 40.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.16% ( | 76.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Empoli |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% 2-0 @ 10.86% ( 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.98% ( 3-1 @ 6.36% ( 4-0 @ 3.37% ( 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 5-1 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 2.57% Total : 61.16% | 1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 2-2 @ 4.51% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.62% | 0-1 @ 5.33% ( 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0-2 @ 2.43% ( 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 2-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.21% |