Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 25, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
0 - 2
Napoli

FT(HT: 0-2)

Ismajli (17' og.), Osimhen (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Frankfurt 0-2 Napoli
Tuesday, February 21 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.69%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.65%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Napoli
11.91% ( -0.14)	17.39% ( -0.22)	70.69% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 51.69% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.77% (

0.65)

38.23% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.49% (

0.69)

60.51% (

-0.69)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.2% (

0.2)

42.8% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.88% (

0.16)

79.12% (

-0.16)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.36% (

0.26)

9.63% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.82% (

0.6)

32.18% (

-0.6)

Score Analysis

Empoli 11.91%

Napoli 70.69%

Draw 17.39%

Empoli	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.32% Total : 11.91%	1-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.02% Total : 17.39%	0-2 @ 11.28% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 8.8% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 7.47% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 5.15% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 4.37% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.04) 0-5 @ 2.41% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 2.05% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.05) 0-6 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.97% Total : 70.69%