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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Apr 8, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Bologna logo

Atalanta
0 - 2
Bologna


Zappacosta (11'), Luis Palomino (68'), Djimsiti (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sansone (49'), Orsolini (86')
Lucumi (61'), Orsolini (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cremonese 1-3 Atalanta
Saturday, April 1 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Bologna 3-0 Udinese
Sunday, April 2 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Bologna

Atalanta finally have a handful of strikers fit and nearing top form, so should score at least once against a team which has conceded at a rate of two goals per game when on the road; Bologna have been brilliant in Emilia-Romagna recently, but less impressive away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 68.56%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 12.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawBologna
68.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 18.7% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 12.74% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.65% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)42.23% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)64.64% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.74% (0.022000000000006 0.02)11.26% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.15% (0.040999999999997 0.04)35.85% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.95% (0.0039999999999978 0)44.05% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.83% (0.0039999999999978 0)80.17% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 68.55%
    Bologna 12.74%
    Draw 18.7%
Atalanta BCDrawBologna
2-0 @ 11.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 8.61% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 4.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.05% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.68% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 68.55%
1-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.98%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 18.7%
0-1 @ 4.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.64% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
0-2 @ 1.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.09%
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 12.74%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Bologna

Atalanta BC
76.0%
Draw
20.0%
Bologna
4.0%
50
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2023 7.45pm
Bologna
1-2
Atalanta
Orsolini (6')
Medel (66'), Lykogiannis (84'), Dominguez (90+4')
Koopmeiners (47'), Hojlund (58')
de Roon (26'), Pasalic (38')
Mar 20, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 28, 2021 5.30pm
Atalanta
0-0
Bologna

Gosens (36'), Luis Palomino (79')

Medel (35'), Sansone (49'), Arnautovic (53'), Hickey (58'), Svanberg (64')
Apr 25, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
5-0
Bologna
Malinovskyi (22'), Muriel (44' pen.), Freuler (57'), Zapata (59'), Miranchuk (73')

Larangeira (44')
Schouten (49')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Bologna
2-2
Atalanta
Tomiyasu (73'), Paz (82')
Mihajlovic (77'), Palacio (84'), da Costa (86')
Muriel (22' pen., 23')
Gosens (18'), Djimsiti (60')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus16610026121428
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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