Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Mar 18, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
2 - 2
Bologna

Pirola (7'), Dia (64')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ferguson (11'), Lykogiannis (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Salernitana and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Salernitana
Monday, March 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Lazio
Saturday, March 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Bologna
31.64% ( -0.99)	27.07% ( -0.06)	41.29% ( 1.05)

Both teams to score 49.84% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.66% (

-0.04)

55.35% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.45% (

-0.03)

76.56% (

0.04)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.72% (

-0.71)

32.29% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.21% (

-0.81)

68.79% (

0.81)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.61% (

0.55)

26.39% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.45% (

0.73)

61.55% (

-0.72)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 31.64%

Bologna 41.29%

Draw 27.07%

Salernitana	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.64%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.07%	0-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.29%