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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Salernitana

Sampdoria
0 - 0
Salernitana


Nuytinck (21'), Cuisance (42'), Malagrida (89')
FT

Daniliuc (27'), Maggiore (51'), Piatek (53'), Dia (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Sampdoria
Monday, February 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 3-0 Monza
Sunday, February 26 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Sampdoria 1-1 Salernitana

Sampdoria are yet to draw any of their seven league games against Salernitana, but that quirk of history may be ended on Sunday as they lack the firepower to capitalise on their visitors' defensive deficiencies. A point suits the Granata more, though, and would continue Paulo Sousa's promising start as head coach. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawSalernitana
40.02% (-0.344 -0.34) 28.99% (0.342 0.34) 30.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 44.21% (-0.919 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.69% (-1.137 -1.14)62.3% (1.14 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.04% (-0.841 -0.84)81.96% (0.845 0.84)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (-0.764 -0.76)30.45% (0.767 0.77)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (-0.919 -0.92)66.65% (0.92200000000001 0.92)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.56% (-0.61300000000001 -0.61)36.43% (0.618 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.78% (-0.625 -0.63)73.22% (0.628 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 40.02%
    Salernitana 30.99%
    Draw 28.97%
SampdoriaDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 13.19% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 7.92% (-0.133 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.84%
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 0.92% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 40.02%
1-1 @ 13.31% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 11.09% (0.46 0.46)
2-2 @ 4% (-0.136 -0.14)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.97%
0-1 @ 11.2% (0.29 0.29)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.66% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 30.99%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs Salernitana

Sampdoria
42.2%
Draw
24.4%
Salernitana
33.3%
45
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 5.30pm
Salernitana
4-0
Sampdoria
Dia (7'), Bonazzoli (16'), Vilhena (50'), Botheim (76')
Mazzocchi (26'), Nicola (56'), Botheim (85')

Depaoli (11'), Rincon (79')
Apr 16, 2022 1.30pm
Sampdoria
1-2
Salernitana
Caputo (32')
Sensi (89')
Fazio (4'), Ederson (6')
Djuric (20'), Sepe (20'), Bonazzoli (49'), Bohinen (50'), Ribery (79'), Mazzocchi (80'), Ranieri (84')
Nov 21, 2021 2pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus16610026121428
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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