Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.92%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.