Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 18, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
1 - 2
Bologna

Sabiri (68' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Soriano (27'), Orsolini (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Sampdoria 0-0 Inter Milan
Monday, February 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 0-1 Monza
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.42%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Bologna
31.64% ( -0.06)	26.94% ( -0.02)	41.42% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 50.24% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.16% (

0.06)

54.84% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.86% (

0.05)

76.14% (

-0.05)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.97% (

-0.01)

32.03% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.5% (

-0.02)

68.49% (

0.02)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.91% (

0.07)

26.09% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.85% (

0.09)

61.14% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 31.64%

Bologna 41.41%

Draw 26.94%

Sampdoria	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.64%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.94%	0-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 41.41%