Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Lazio |
| 34.24% ( | 27.06% ( | 38.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.26% ( | 54.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.94% ( | 76.06% ( |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% ( | 30.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.6% ( | 66.4% ( |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% ( | 27.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.96% ( | 63.04% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 2-0 @ 5.96% ( 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 4-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 34.24% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0-0 @ 8.32% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.05% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0-2 @ 6.92% ( 1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0-3 @ 2.98% ( 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.7% |