Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 26

Mar 13, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
1 - 1
Salernitana

Giroud (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dia (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Spurs 0-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, March 8 at 8.10pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Salernitana

All competitions

Last Game: Sampdoria 0-0 Salernitana
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 70.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 10.95%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.34%) and 3-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.74%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Salernitana
70.62% ( -0.19)	18.42% ( 0.1)	10.95% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 44.8% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.39% (

-0.21)

45.61% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.07% (

-0.2)

67.93% (

0.2)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.34% (

-0.11)

11.66% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.28% (

-0.24)

36.72% (

0.23)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.72% (

0.02)

49.28% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.84% (

0.01)

84.15% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 70.6%

Salernitana 10.95%

Draw 18.42%

AC Milan	Draw	Salernitana
2-0 @ 13.26% 1-0 @ 12.34% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.26% Total : 70.6%	1-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 18.42%	0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.36% Total : 10.95%