Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Udinese |
| 43.22% | 27.33% | 29.45% |
| Both teams to score 48.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.96% | 57.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.07% | 77.93% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% | 26.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.76% | 61.24% |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.23% | 34.78% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.5% | 71.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Udinese |
| 1-0 @ 12.19% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 3.86% 3-0 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.21% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 9.1% 2-2 @ 4.56% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.17% Total : 29.45% |