Serie A Gameweek 27
Mar 18, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Dacia Arena
  • Roberto Pereyra 9' goal
  • Beto 45'+6' goal
  • Kingsley Ehizibue 70' goal
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 45'+4'

Udinese vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2023 2.00pm
Empoli 0 - 1 Udinese
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Beto

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Mar 13, 2023 7.45pm
AC Milan 1 - 1 Salernitana
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Rafael Leao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result

Udinese 37.58% (+0.13)
Draw 25.61% (+0.04)
AC Milan 36.8% (-0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.59% (-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.55% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 48.45% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 29.42% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 70.58% (+0.15)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5 74.77% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 25.22% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 40.03% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.97% (+0.01)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 74.34% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 25.66% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 39.43% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 60.56% (+0.22)

Score analysis

Udinese 37.58%
Draw 25.6%
AC Milan 36.8%
Udinese
1-0 @ 8.92% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.35% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.14% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.83% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.82% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 37.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.47% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.6%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 8.8% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.99% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.72% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 36.8%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 5.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 2
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Theo Hernandez 11' goal
  • Ante Rebic 15' goal
  • Rade Krunic 34' yellowcard
  • Brahim Diaz 46' goal
  • Ante Rebic 68' goal
  • goal Rodrigo Becao 2'
  • yellowcard Brandon Soppy 9'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Becao 34'
  • goal Adam Masina 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Nehuen Perez 55'
  • yellowcard Festy Ebosele 90'+1'
Serie A Gameweek 27
Feb 25, 2022 5.50pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rafael Leao 29' goal
  • Ante Rebic 68' yellowcard
  • Rafael Leao 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nehuen Perez 17'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Becao 49'
  • goal Destiny Udogie 66'
  • yellowcard Nahuel Molina 73'
  • yellowcard Isaac Success 77'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Beto 17' goal
  • Nehuen Perez 25' yellowcard
  • Gerard Deulofeu 55' yellowcard
  • Isaac Success 90'+5' redcard
  • yellowcard Samu Castillejo 87'
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Florenzi 90'+5'
Serie A Gameweek 25
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ante Rebic 24' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 32' yellowcard
  • Alessio Romagnoli 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Franck Kessie 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Franck Kessie 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Marvin Zeegelaar 54'
  • goal Rodrigo Becao 68'
Serie A Gameweek 6
Nov 1, 2020 11.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Rodrigo Becao 24' yellowcard
  • Tolgay Arslan 39' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 48' goal
  • yellowcard Theo Hernandez 13'
  • goal Franck Kessie 18'
  • yellowcard Gianluigi Donnarumma 49'
  • goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic 83'
Serie A Gameweek 20
Jan 19, 2020 11.30am
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Giuseppe Meazza
  • Ismael Bennacer 40' yellowcard
  • Ante Rebic 48' goal
  • Stefano Pioli 53' yellowcard
  • Andrea Conti 63' yellowcard
  • Theo Hernandez 72' goal
  • Zlatan Ibrahimovic 80' yellowcard
  • Ante Rebic 93' goal
  • Samu Castillejo 94' yellowcard
  • goal Jens Stryger Larsen 6'
  • yellowcard Ken Sema 27'
  • goal Kevin Lasagna 85'