Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 31

Apr 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
1 - 1
Spezia

Amione (23')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Verde (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Sampdoria
Sunday, April 16 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Spezia

All competitions

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Lazio
Friday, April 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	Spezia
40.91% ( -0.15)	26.69% ( 0.01)	32.41% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 51.29% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.38% (

-0.01)

53.62% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.88% (

-0)

75.12% (

0.01)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.2% (

-0.08)

25.8% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.24% (

-0.11)

60.76% (

0.11)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.12% (

0.09)

30.88% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.83% (

0.11)

67.16% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 40.9%

Spezia 32.41%

Draw 26.68%

Sampdoria	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 40.9%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.68%	0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.41%