Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 36.08%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.