Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 36.08%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Cremonese |
| 36.08% ( | 28.28% ( | 35.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.97% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.73% ( | 59.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.32% ( | 79.68% ( |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.68% ( | 31.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.32% ( | 67.68% ( |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.39% ( | 31.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.99% ( | 68.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Cremonese |
| 1-0 @ 11.49% ( 2-1 @ 7.68% ( 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 3-2 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.97% Total : 36.08% | 1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 2-2 @ 4.43% ( Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.27% | 0-1 @ 11.4% ( 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0-2 @ 6.57% ( 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 2-3 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.64% |