Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 34.53% ( | 28.19% ( | 37.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.01% ( | 58.99% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.54% ( | 79.46% ( |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.82% ( | 32.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.33% ( | 68.67% ( |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.56% ( | 30.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.36% ( | 66.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Hellas Verona |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% ( 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 2-0 @ 6.3% ( 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 3-2 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.53% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0-0 @ 9.79% ( 2-2 @ 4.45% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 11.65% ( 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0-2 @ 6.93% ( 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 1-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.28% |