Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 12.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.81%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 67.99% ( | 19.72% ( | 12.29% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.25% ( | 47.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.06% ( | 69.93% ( |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.97% ( | 13.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.42% ( | 39.58% ( |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.73% ( | 48.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.57% ( | 83.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Juventus | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 2-0 @ 13.05% ( 1-0 @ 12.81% ( 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 3-0 @ 8.87% ( 3-1 @ 6.46% ( 4-0 @ 4.52% ( 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 5-0 @ 1.84% ( 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 4-2 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 67.98% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 2-2 @ 3.47% ( Other @ 0.63% Total : 19.72% | 0-1 @ 4.58% ( 1-2 @ 3.4% ( 0-2 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.64% Total : 12.29% |