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Serie A
Roma logo
Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Juventus logo

Roma
1 - 0
Juventus

Mancini (53')
Matic (33'), Cristante (57'), Spinazzola (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Locatelli (31'), Kostic (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Cremonese 2-1 Roma
Tuesday, February 28 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Juventus

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 4-2 Torino
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 0-1 Juventus

 Juventus are one of two teams, along with leaders Napoil, to have conceded the fewest goals in the second half of Serie A matches this season (eight), while Roma have only conceded nine, so both sides know how to shut up shop. It is sure to be a close-fought affair in the capital, but more misery for Mourinho could be in store, as Juve are masters of nicking a lead and doggedly preserving their advantage until the last whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match.

Result
RomaDrawJuventus
41.63% (-0.143 -0.14) 27.85% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 30.52% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 47.14% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.44% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)58.56% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.87% (-0.038 -0.04)79.13% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.28% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)27.71% (0.101 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (-0.132 -0.13)63.28% (0.13 0.13)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.22% (0.061999999999998 0.06)34.78% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.49% (0.065000000000001 0.07)71.51% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Roma 41.62%
    Juventus 30.52%
    Draw 27.85%
RomaDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 12.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.94% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 41.62%
1-1 @ 13.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.64% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.85%
0-1 @ 10.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.9% (0.017 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 30.52%

How you voted: Roma vs Juventus

Roma
19.7%
Draw
20.2%
Juventus
60.1%
183
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 5.30pm
Juventus
1-1
Roma
Vlahovic (2')
Locatelli (6'), Kostic (77')
Abraham (69')
Cristante (41'), Celik (90+4')
Jan 9, 2022 5.30pm
Roma
3-4
Juventus
Abraham (11'), Mkhitaryan (48'), Pellegrini (53')
Veretout (50'), Ibanez (51'), Cristante (76')
Dybala (18'), Locatelli (70'), Kulusevski (72'), De Sciglio (77')
Cuadrado (45+3'), de Ligt (52'), Locatelli (65')
de Ligt (81')
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Juventus
1-0
Roma
Kean (16')
Szczesny (42'), De Sciglio (49'), Danilo (87')

Abraham (45+3'), El Shaarawy (70'), Shomurodov (85'), Mancini (89'), Karsdorp (90+3')
Feb 6, 2021 5pm
Juventus
2-0
Roma
Ronaldo (13'), Ibanez (69' og.)
Arthur (37'), Ronaldo (62')

Mancini (35'), Kumbulla (54')
Sep 27, 2020 7.45pm
Roma
2-2
Juventus
Veretout (31' pen., 45+1')
Kumbulla (36'), Pellegrini (54')
Ronaldo (44' pen., 69')
Rabiot (30'), Frabotta (86')
Rabiot (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149
> Serie A Full Table


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